Entries Tagged 'Investing' ↓

Earnings season is right around the corner and stock are deeply oversold. So, is now the time to buy or should you wait until after earnings are reported? Is now the time to buy and wait for a quick pop from earnings or should you wait until earnings disappoint and buy the sell-off?

Many stocks are trading at single digit P/E ratios and valuations that make the market look cheap. Although I am not too much into fundamental investing, I have to consider fundamentals when trading. Value investors are working overtime right now trying to distinguish whether these valuations are of actual value or whether they are pointing to a weaker earnings outlook.

What Am I Doing?

Sitting it out for now. If I am not in the market, I can’t lose money. I see companies hoarding cash, retailers reporting mixed numbers, employment not improving, and terrible housing data. The technicals of the markets say there is more room to the downside but with any earnings season around the corner, volatility is the only certain thing in the markets. Some stocks will win and others will lose, I will sit on the sidelines and wait.

Tired of paying high brokerage fees? Looking to lower your brokerage commissions? Charles Schwab recently began offering free ETF trades when you open a brokerage account with them. Are the benefits worth it?

ETFs Available To Trade Free Now

Schwab US Broad Market ETF (SCHB)
Schwab US Large-Cap ETF (SCHX)
Schwab US Small-Cap ETF (SCHA)
Schwab International Equity ETF (SCHF)

Available In December

Schwab US Large-Cap Growth ETF (SCHG)
Schwab US Large-Cap Value ETF (SCHV)
Schwab International Small Cap ETF (SCHC)
Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE)

Are Charles Schwab’s ETFs Right For You?

If you are a investor looking for longer-term investments or trades and like using indexes; then these ETFs are worth looking at. For traders and shorter-term investors, the volume is too low for me to recommend them. When trading stocks and ETFs (other than the Schwab ETFs listed above), commissions rates are $8.95 – $19.95, depending on the amount of trades placed.

Understand that commission free trading is nice, but with Charles Schwab, you are limited to a few ETFs that you can trade. If the volume rises in these ETFs, it might be worth looking into. For now, the products are too limited and commissions on other ETFs and stocks are higher than most online brokers.

Get more information on opening an account and Charles Schwab ETFs @ www.schwab.com.

I recall watching CNBC when the DOW crossed 10,000 a little over a week ago. What was it that made the traders and investors on the floor cheer? Why is the 10,000 milestone so important? What makes this time different from the first time the DOW passed the 10,000 mark 10 years ago?

The Decade That Flat-lined

To me, the DOW crossing 10,000 means nothing fundamentally and technically it is another whole number to trade off. The DOW crossing 10,000 did not create any new jobs, nor did it help the declining dollar. As I mentioned earlier, the DOW crossed the 10,000 milestone 10 years ago. If you had put your money into an index fund 10 years ago, it has done nothing…not counting dividends. Dividends that, if reinvested, have lost value and taxes you paid on them probably wipes out anything you might have gained.

Dow 10,000 – The Second Time Around

With a decade of no performance, where do we really stand? Well, 10,000 today is not the same 10,000 as it were 10 years ago. Thanks to inflation, your investment in an index fund that tracks the DOW might have returned you the same dollar amount as you invested but it gave you a dollar with a significantly weaker buying power. Want to know more about the loss in your buying power? Head over to ZeroHedge.com and read an article called “DOW 10,000!!!! OhWait, Make That 7,537.”

Investing In Index Funds

If you are investing in index funds think about this post. Ten years of no gains and loss of buying power will make anyone poorer than they were 10 years ago. Do not get me wrong, I am not saying that index funds are a terrible investment. I am saying that the buy and hold theory should be history. A decade of losing 25% of your buying power and no investment gains is an obstacle you do not want in a retirement account.

One of the best things a trader or an investor can do is preserve capital. The easiest way to do so is through a stop order. A stop order, often referred to as a stop-loss order, is a type of order that gets you out of an investment or trade when the investment or trade hits a specified price, to essentially stop you from further losses.

Stop Orders

A stop order turns into a market order when the price level or percentage is breached, getting you out of a stock or ETF as soon as possible at the market price.

Example: You buy 10 shares of a stock at $10.00 and enter a stop order for 10 shares at $9.00 (or 10%, some brokers do not allow percentage.) The stock moves around before heading lower and breaching the stop set at $9.00. Your stop order now becomes a market order selling 10 shares at the market price.

Stop Limit Orders

A stop limit order is much like a stop order, expect when the stock breaches your stop price/percentage, it creates a limit order instead of a market order.

Example: You buy 10 share of a stock at $10 and enter a stop limit order to sell 10 shares when the price hits $9.00 and for the limit order, you enter $8.75. The price of the stock hits $9.00, which then creates a limit order to sell 10 shares at or above $8.75.

Note: With stop limit orders, if the stock gaps down overnight, you run the chance of not getting your order filled.

Trailing Stop Order

Trailing stop orders are for those who want to limit their losses and lock in profits without actively monitoring the stock market. A trailing stop order is a stop order that moves up with the price of the stock.

Example: You buy 10 shares of XYZ stock for $10.00 and enter a trailing stop order at $1.00 below the buy price. Your trailing stop order moves up with the price of the stock, never allowing your stop order to trail the price of the stock more than $1.00.

Trailing Stop Limit Order

A trailing stop limit order, like the trailing stop order, limits losses while locking in profits. A trailing stop limit order turns into a limit order upon breaching a specified price level.

Example: You buy 10 share of XYZ stock for $10.00 and enter a trailing stop limit order of $1.00 for the stop and $1.25 for the limit. If the stock never goes up and starts falling, you should get out at $8.75 or higher. As with the trailing stop order, a trailing stop limit follows the stock up never allowing your stop to lag the price of the stock more than stop limit, in this case $1.00. Now, say the stock moves up to $12.50, then turns around and starts dropping. The stock hits your trailing stop, which is now at $11.50. In theory, your limit order will get you out at $11.25 or higher.

NOTE: Like the stop limit order; if the stock gaps down, you take a chance of not getting your order filled, as the bid is lower than your limit.

Placing Your Order

Different brokers offer different types of stop orders and some broker have limitations on certain types of stops such as limiting trailing stop orders by only allowing you to place them if you have more than 100 shares. The stop order can be placed either on the bid, the ask, last price etc. Be sure to place the order according to your plan or research.

Shorting Stock and ETFs

Stop orders work with shorting stocks as well. Instead of the stop being below the price of the stock, it is above it. If you are shorting stocks, I highly recommend that you place some type of stop order.

Pay Attention To Volume

If the stock or ETF that you are trading or investing in has low volume, a stop order or trailing stop might get you out at a price way lower than expected. When trading lower volume stocks or ETFs, you should consider using stop limit and trailing stop limit orders.

If the market is in a sideways or downward movement, you may look at overweighting in bonds. In my income portfolio, I am slowly adding bond positions as I expect the market to continue lower. With the S&P 500 and the Dow forming a head and shoulders pattern (bearish technical pattern), the markets are heading for a correction, as investors got a little too bullish too early.

JNK vs SPY

SPDR Capital High Yield Bond Portfolio ETF (JNK) gets it ticker from the bonds the ETF holds which are less than investment grade. Since they are less than investment grade, many refer to them as “junk bonds”. When compared to a two-year chart with the S&P 500, SPDR Capital High Yield Bond Portfolio ETF (JNK) outperformed the S&P 500 SPDR ETF (SPY). Not only did JNK significantly outperform but it also returned a monthly dividend currently yielding around 14%.

Other High Yield Bond ETFs

iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) and PowerShares High Yield Corporate Bong ETF (PHB) are two more ways to play high yield bonds as they track different indexes and currently yield 10.5% and 11.26%, respectively.

DISCLAIMER: I do own shares of JNK.